🔥 Israel–Iran Update: Ceasefire Holds, But Tensions Remain High

 In the past 24 hours, Israel and Iran have maintained a fragile ceasefire while missile sirens still resound. Market volatility stabilizes, civilians evacuate, and internal unrest grows in Tehran.

Israel–Iran Update: Ceasefire Holds, But Tensions Remain High

🕊️ Ceasefire Status & Military Activity

• Fragile truce persists: Following the ceasefire brokered by former U.S. President Trump, both sides have largely held fire. Yet, Israel’s Defense Minister ordered immediate counterstrikes in response to alleged Iranian missile launches, branded as ceasefire violations reuters.com.

• Missile alerts continue: Iran reportedly launched missiles around Israel’s Beersheba area, which were intercepted. Israel responded with early-morning strikes around Tehran en.wikipedia.org+1nypost.com+1.

📈 Market Reaction & Civilian Response

• Gulf markets rebound: Saudi, Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Qatar stock indices climbed following the ceasefire. Dubai up ~0.4%, Qatar leading with +1.1%. Oil prices briefly recovered as tensions eased reuters.com.

• Foreign nationals evacuate Israeli cities: Many Canadians and Australians lined up in Tel Aviv and were relocated across borders, leaving amidst continued alert sirens reuters.com.

🇮🇷 Iran: Internal Crackdown & Public Reaction

• Domestic security clampdown: Iranian authorities have launched mass arrests, especially in Kurdish regions. Over *700 arrests have been reported for alleged sabotage or spying, with three executed near the Turkish border reuters.com.

• Public relief and fear: Tehran residents expressed cautious relief at the ceasefire but voiced concerns about the future, saying: “It was an unnecessary war… we paid the price” reuters.com.

🏛️ Political Moves & Diplomatic Tensions

• Trump claims blow to Iran’s nuclear program: Despite U.S. intelligence suggesting only a temporary setback, Trump hailed the strikes as an “obliteration” of Tehran’s nuclear capabilities reuters.com+11theguardian.com+11reuters.com+11.

• IAEA suspension and political brinkmanship: In response, Iran halted cooperation with the UN atomic watchdog and pledged to accelerate its civilian nuclear program theguardian.com+1reuters.com+1.

• Global voices urging calm: Pope Leo XVI appealed to both nations to “reject vengeance” and choose diplomacy over revenge reuters.com.

🚨 What’s at Stake Now?

• Ceasefire fragility: With both sides accusing each other of violations and responding with military force, the current lull may not endure.

• Civilians remain vulnerable: Evacuations continue, fear lingers, and infrastructure in Tehran and southern Israel sustains collateral damage.

• Political ripple effects: While global markets glance upward, diplomatic efforts are undermined by Iran's internal crackdown and nuclear ambitions.

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🎯 Key Takeaway

The ceasefire has provided a short-lived reprieve—but it may be more calm before the storm. With military directives still active, nuclear tensions unresolved, and internal repression increasing, the region remains volatile. The world watches closely: will diplomacy hold, or is another surge already set in motion?